By
now you know how to make paired comparisons. In this section you will
learn how to make a reciprocal matrix from pair wise comparisons.
For
example John has 3 kinds of fruits to be compared and he made
subjective judgment on which fruit he likes best, like the following
We
can make a matrix from the 3 comparisons above. Because we have three
comparisons, thus we have 3 by 3 matrix. The diagonal elements of the
matrix are always 1 and we only need to fill up the upper triangular
matrix. How to fill up the upper triangular matrix is using the
following rules:
If the judgment value is on the left side of 1, we put the actual judgment value.
If the judgment value is on the right side of 1, we put the reciprocal value .
Comparing apple and banana, John slightly favor banana, thus we put in
the row 1 column 2 of the matrix. Comparing Apple and Cherry, John
strongly likes apple, thus we put actual judgment 5 on the first row,
last column of the matrix. Comparing banana and cherry, banana is
dominant. Thus we put his actual judgment on the second row, last
column of the matrix. Then based on his preference values above, we
have a reciprocal matrix like this
To fill the lower triangular matrix, we use the reciprocal values of the upper diagonal. If is the element of row column of the matrix, then the lower diagonal is filled using this formula
Thus now we have complete comparison matrix
Notice that all the element in the comparison matrix are positive, or
One Monday morning Peter, instead of attending class, was mulling over his four job offers.
His offers came from Acme Manufacturing (A), Bankers Bank (B), Creative Consulting (C) and Dynamic Decision Making (D). He knew that factors such as location, salary, job content, and long-term prospects were important to him, but he wanted some way to formalize the relative importance, and some way to evaluate each job offer. Luckily, he attended the following Tuesday class of MSTC, who showed him one way to think about these problems. This technique is called the Analytic Hierarchy Process.
The first step in AHP is to ignore the jobs and just decide the relative importance of the objectives. Peter does this by comparing each pair of objectives and ranking them on the following scale: Comparing objective i and objective j (where i is assumed to be at least as important as j), give a value aij as follows:
Value aij
Comparison description
1
Objectives i and jare of
equal importance
3
Objectives i is weakly
more important that j
5
Objectives i is strongly
more important that j
7
Objectives i is very
strongly more important that j
9
Objectives i is
absolutely more important that j
Pairwise comparison values
Of course, we set aii = 1. Furthermore, if we set aij = k , then we set aji = 1 k . Peter, thinking hard about his preferences, comes up with the following table:
Location
Salary
Content
Long
Location
1
15
13
12
Salary
5
1
2
4
Content
3
12
1
3
Long
2
14
13
1
Preferences on Objectives
Now, the AHP is going to make some simple calculations to determine the overall weight
that Peter is assigning to each objective: this weight will be between 0 and 1, and the total
weights will add up to 1. We do that by taking each entry and dividing by the sum of the
column it appears in. For instance the (Location,Location) entry would end up as
1 / 1+ 5+ 3+ 2 = 0.091.
The other entries become:
Weights on Objectives
This suggests that about half of the objective weight is on salary, 30% on amount of job
content, 13% on long term prospects, and 9% on location.
Now, why does this magical transformation make sense? If we read down the first column in the original matrix, we have the values of each of the objectives, normalized by setting the value of location to be 1. Similarly, the second column are the values, normalizing with salary equals 1. For a perfectly consistent decision maker, each column should be identical, except for the normalization. By dividing by the total in each column, therefore, we would expect identical columns, with each entry giving the relative weight of the row’s objective. By averaging across each row, we correct for any small inconsistencies in the decision making process.
Our next step is to evaluate all the jobs on each objective. For instance, if we take Location, if we prefer to be in the northeast (and preferably Boston), and the jobs are located in Pittsburgh, New York, Boston, and San Francisco respectively, then we might get the following matrix:
A
B
C
D
Acme(A)
1
12
13
5
Bankers(B)
2
1
12
7
Creative(C)
3
2
1
9
Dynamic(D)
15
17
19
1
Location Scores
Again we can normalize (divide by the sums of the columns, and average across rows to get
the relative weights of each job with regards to location.) In this case, we get the following:
A
B
C
D
Avg.
Acme(A)
0.161
0.137
0.171
0.227
0.174
Bankers(B)
0.322
0.275
0.257
0.312
0.293
Creative(C)
0.484
0.549
0.514
0.409
0.489
Dynamic(D)
0.032
0.040
0.057
0.045
0.044
P= 1
Relative Location Scores
“Location Value” is about 49% for C, 29% for B, 17% for A and D has about 4%. We can go through a similar process with Salary, Content, and Long-term prospects. Suppose the relative values for the objectives can be given as follows:
Recalling our overall weights, we can now get a value for each job. The value for Acme Manufacturing is
(0.174)(0.086) + (0.050)(0.496) + (0.210)(0.289) + (0.510)(0.130) = 0.164
(A)cme
(B)ankers
(C)reative
(D)ynamic
Location
0.174
0.293
0.489
0.044
Salary
0.050
0.444
0.312
0.194
Content
0.210
0.038
0.354
0.398
Long
0.510
0.012
0.290
0.188
Relative scores for each objective
Similarly, the value Bankers Bank is (0.293)(0.086) + (0.444)(0.496) + (0.038)(0.289) + (0.012)(0.130) = 0.256 The value for Creative Consultants is 0.335, and that for Dynamic Decision is 0.238. Creative Consultants it is! Peter immediately makes his decision.
AHP is one method to help prepare a priority of the various options using several criteria (multi-criteria). Because of its multi-criteria, AHP enough widely used in the preparation of priority. For example, for set priorities for research, management research institute often using several criteria such as the impact of research, costs, human resource capacity, and also possible execution time.
In addition to the multi-criteria, AHP is also based on a structured and logical process. Selection or preparation of priority done with a logical and structured procedure. Activity was conducted by experts associated with the representative alternatives will be drawn up priorities (Bougeois, 2005).
Broadly speaking, there are three stages in the preparation AHP priorities, namely:
1. Decomposition of the problem
Insetting priorities, then the problemof prioritization should beable tobe decomposed intothe goal(goal) of an activity, identification ofoptions, and theformulation ofcriteriatochoose apriority(Figure 1). The firststepis formulatethe goalofdraftingapriority. in OPECstrategy formulationcase, the goalofOPECisto improve the welfare ofmembers ofOPECand increase OPEC'ssocial and political rolein the international forum. For the case ofelection supplier,the purpose ofthe activitiesistochoose thebest supplier.
In the case ofthe selectionof researchproposals, the purpose ofthe activitiesmaylook for topic/bestresearch proposal.Once the destination can be determined, the next step is determining the criteria of that goal. For the case of OPEC, criteria objectives are (i) the stabilization of revenues; (ii) conservation of oil deposits; and (iii) an increase in OPEC's political role in the international forum. For selection of suppliers, the indicators used include (i) logistics capabilities; (ii) production capability; and (iii) the ability commercial / finance.
Based on the objectives and criteria, several options need to be identified. Such options should be the choices potential, so the number is not too much choice. For case OPEC, the choice of strategy is (i) the stability of production and price; (ii) production and export quotas; (iii) fluctuations (shock) production;and (iv) maintain the current policy is applied. For supplier selection case, the options available are 3suppliers namely (i) Kirsehir; (ii) Bastas; and (iii) AKYUS. For preparation of research priorities, the possible choices is the title / topic research proposed by researchers.
2. Assessment for comparing elements results decomposition
Once the problem is decomposed, then there are two stages of assessment or comparing between elements of comparison between criteria and the comparison between options for each criterion. Comparison among the criteria intended to determine weights for each criteria. On the other hand, the comparison between options for each criterion. In other words, this judgment is intended to see how important a choice seen from certain criteria.
In conducting the assessment / comparison, experts who developed AHP uses a scale of 1/9 to 9. If option A and B being equal (indifferent), then A and B were each given If for example the value 1. A better / more preferably from B, then A given grades 3 and B rated 1/3. If A is much preferred to B, then A eg rated 7 and B rated 1/7. This assessment will not be used in this article because of the lack of a logical manner.As an example, if A and B are worth 7 1/7, then the difference between A and B is almost close to 700%.
An alternate assessment that is used by Bourgeois (2005) who wore a scale between 0.1 to 1.9 is considered more logical as presented in Table 1. If A slightly better / preferred from B, then A and B rated 1.3 rated 0.7, indicating a distance of about 30% of the value of 1. If A is much preferred by B, then the value of A becomes B 1.6 to 0.4. The way such assessments will be used in this paper.
Assessment
Value A
Value B
A very much
preferred than B
1.9
0.1
A far more
preferable than B
1.6
0.4
A slightly
more preferred than B
1.3
0.7
A equals B
1.0
1.0
A slightly
less preferred than B
0.7
1.3
A far less
favored than B
0.4
1.6
A very much
less favored than B
0.1
1.9
ScaleRatings
By usingassessments such asTable1,then comparison betweenthe criteriawould result inTable2 below.For facilitate,in the tableassumedthere were only fourcriteria.From Thetablecan besummarizedas follows:
Cijis the result ofassessment/comparisonbetweencriteriaitoj
Ci.isownedcriteria sale valuetoi
Cis the sumof allvaluesCi.
Weightcriteriato Iobtained bydividing the value of Ci.withC.
Criteria
CR1
CR2
CR3
CR4
Total
Weight
CR1
-
c12
c13
c14
c1.
bc1= c1./c
CR2
c21
-
c23
c24
c2.
bc2=c2./c
CR3
c31
c32
-
c34
c3.
bc3=c3./c
CR4
c41
c42
c43
-
c4.
bc4=c4./c
Total
C
Comparison betweenCriteria
Using thesame procedure,it isperformed comparisonbetweenoptions (OP)foreach criterion.table3 The followingillustrates thecomparison betweenoptions (4choices)to criterion1(C1)with the following explanation:
Oijanassessment/comparisonbetweenthechoicei with kforcriteriatoj
Oi.is the sumvalue oftheownedoptionstoi
Ois the sumof allvaluesoi.
BOijanoptionvaluetoiforcriteriatoj
Thechoicebetween theassessment processcontinuesforall criteria.For the record, the assessmentshould be doneby experts andmajor stakeholders.Typically,the numberof expertsvary depending theavailability of resources.Assessmentcan be donewith distributing questionnaires toeachexpertor by conductameeting of expertsto conduct an assessment The.Forthis case study, the assessmentcarried outby gatherexperts.
C1
OP1
OP2
OP3
OP4
Total
Weight
OP1
-
o12
o13
o14
o1.
bo11=o1./o
OP2
o21
-
o23
o24
o2.
bo21=o2./o
OP3
o31
o32
-
o34
o3.
bo31=o3./o
OP4
o41
o42
o43
-
o4.
bo41=o4./o
Total
O
Comparisons betweenoptionsfor CriterionC1
3. Synthesis of priorities Synthesis ofthe assessment resultsis the final stageofAHP.on Essentially,thissynthesisis the sumof theweights obtained byeachoptionon eachcriterionafter agiven weightofthese criteria.In general,the value ofanoptionis as follows :
ibop
=
ijboΣ
jbc*
.............................................
(1)
i=1
bopi = value / weights for selection
to i
Theformulacan also bepresentedin tabular form.For simplicity,it is assumedthere are fourcriteriawithfouroptions as Table4below.As anexample ofthe value ofthe priority/weight ofoption1 (OP1)obtained by multiplying theweight valueonthecriteria the value associated withthecriteriaforoption 1as following:
It is synonymous done to option 2, 3 and 4. With comparing the values obtained by each option, the priority can be prepared based on the magnitude of that value. The higher the value an option, the higher the priority, and vice versa.